Category: MMA

UFC 135 Predictions

UFC 135 is on pay-per-view tonight.  There’s really only two fights that I care about on this card, so this will be short and sweet.

  • Josh Koscheck vs. Matt Hughes – There was a time when Matt Hughes was the best in his division… unfortunately that time has passed.  I don’t see this fight going the distance.
    Prediction: Koscheck wins via ref stoppage.
  • Jon Jones vs. Quinton “Rampage” Jackson – This might be an interesting fight.  I think Rampage is going to go out and try to take it to Jones.  If Rampage does, he will have a slugger’s chance.
    Prediction: Jones by TKO.

I’ll have the results for you tomorrow.

 

UFC 134 Results

UFC 134 results are in.  They say, “Two out of three ain’t bad” and that’s the best I could muster with my picks…

  • Anderson Silva vs. Yushin Okami
    Thoughts: Okami was the last man to beat Silva. He should have rested on his laurels.
    Prediction: Silva by KO
    Result: Silva KO’d Okami
    in round 1
  • Mauricio Rua vs. Forrest Griffin
    Thoughts: Griffin won the last time they met, but his prefight talk about not getting any better as a fighter has me concerned. I hope Griffin wins, but don’t feel confident about it so…
    Prediction: Rua via decision
    Result: Rua KO’d Griffin
    in round 1
  • Brendan Schaub vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
    Thoughts: The fight doesn’t always go to the younger, the faster and the stronger, but that is the way to bet
  • Prediction: Schaub via TKO
    Result: Nogueri KO’d Shaub
    in round 1

Final thoughts…

  • My hats off to Nog for scoring the upset win.
  • Forrest Griffin needs to get his head on straight if he’s going to continue fighting.  His prefight talk indicated that he thinks he’s stopped progressing.
  • I want to see Silva fight Sonnen again.
  • Next card: UFC Fight Night 25: Battle on the Bayou – Free on SPIKE


UFC 134 Predictions

UFC 134 is tonight.  Let’s go right to my picks…

  • Anderson Silva vs. Yushin Okami
    Thoughts: Okami was the last man to beat Silva.  He should have rested on his laurels.
    Prediction: Silva by KO
  • Mauricio Rua vs. Forrest Griffin
    Thoughts: Griffin won the last time they met, but his prefight talk about not getting any better as a fighter has me concerned.  I hope Griffin wins, but don’t feel confident about it so…
    Prediction: Rua via decision
  • Brendan Schaub vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
    Thoughts
    : The fight doesn’t always go to the younger, the faster and the stronger, but that is the way to bet
    Prediction
    : Schaub via TKO

    Results tomorrow!

    UFC 131 Results

    UFC 131 was last night and the card was a winner. Unfortunately for all the fighters the same could not be said.  Let’s look at my predictions and results:

    • Krzysztof “The Polish Experiment” Soszynski (25-11) vs Mike “The Master of Disaster” Massenzio (11-4)
      Prediction: Soszynski wins by submission.
      Result:
      Soszynski won by unanimous decision making me 1-0 for the night.
    • Sam “Hands of Stone” Stout (16-6) vs Yves Edwards (40-16) this fight will appear on SPIKE.
      Prediction: Stout via decision.
      Result: Stout via brutal first round KO making me 2-0 for the night.

    The following bouts were all on the main card pay-per-view:

    • Donald “The Cowboy” Cerrone (14-3) vs Vagner Rocha (6-1)
      Prediction: Cerrone wins by TKO.
      Result: Cerrone
      won by unanimous decision making me 3-0 for the night.
    • Demian Maia (14-2) vs Mark “The Filipino Wrecking Machine” Munoz (10-2)
      Prediction: Maia by decision.
      Result: Munoz
      by unanimous decision making me 3-1 for the night.
    • Jon Olav Einemo (6-1) vs Dave “Pee-Wee” Herman (20-2)
      Prediction: Herman by TKO.
      Result: Herman
      by TKO in round 2 making me 4-1 for the night.
    • Kenny “Ken-Flo” Florian (14-5) vs Diego Nunes (16-1)
      Prediction: Florian gets the win and a title shot.
      Result: Florian
      by unanimous decision making me 5-1 for the night.
    • Junior “Cigano” dos Santos (12-1) vs Shane “The Engineer” Carwin (12-1)
      Prediction: Carwin in an upset win by TKO.
      Result: dos Santos
      by unanimous decision making me 5-2 for the night.

    UFC 131 Predictions

    UFC 131 airs tonight.  There will be prelim fights on Facebook and YoutubeSPIKE will also air other prelims and then the feature fights will appear on pay-per-view starting at 9pm EST.  Here are my predictions:

    • Krzysztof “The Polish Experiment” Soszynski (25-11) vs Mike “The Master of Disaster” Massenzio (11-4) this fight will appear on Facebook or Youtube.
      Thoughts: Kryzsztof shouldn’t have much of a problem with Massenzio [who is coming in as a late replacement].
      Prediction: Soszynski wins by submission.
    • Sam “Hands of Stone” Stout (16-6) vs Yves Edwards (40-16) this fight will appear on SPIKE.
      Thoughts: Stout has won five “Fight of the Night” awards and Edwards won’t be one to back down, so this bout could have fireworks.  Stout likes to stand and bang, so the question is: Will Edwards want to play that game or will he prefer to take Stout down and grind out a win?
      Prediction: Stout via decision.

    The following bouts are all on the main card pay-per-view:

    • Donald “The Cowboy” Cerrone (14-3) vs Vagner Rocha (6-1)
      Thoughts: This is Rocha’s UFC debut and it’s not an easy fight.  Rocha will want to take Cerrone down and work his Brazilian jiu-jitsuCerrone will want to stand and kickbox.
      Prediction: Cerrone wins by TKO.
    • Demian Maia (14-2) vs Mark “The Filipino Wrecking Machine” Munoz (10-2)
      Thoughts: Two of the best fighters in their weight class face off in what should be a great strategic battle.
      Prediction: Maia by decision.
    • Jon Olav Einemo (6-1) vs Dave “Pee-Wee” Herman (20-2)
      Thoughts: Herman should win easily enough.
      Prediction: Herman by TKO.
    • Kenny “Ken-Flo” Florian (14-5) vs Diego Nunes (16-1)
      Thoughts: Florian is looking for a title shot if he gets past Nunes.
      Prediction: Florian gets the win and a title shot.
    • Junior “Cigano” dos Santos (12-1) vs Shane “The Engineer” Carwin (12-1)
      Thoughts: I hate to see either of these guys loose, because they’re the cream of their weight division.  I’d say, that they’re the 2nd and 3rd best fighters in the Heavyweight divisionSantos is the favorite in what should be a slugfest.
      Prediction: Carwin in an upset win by TKO.

    UFC 130 Results

    There was maybe one person who had a worse night that me when it came to UFC 130.  Who?  Oh, I’d say maybe Stefan Struve… maybe. Let’s see what made it so bad…

    • Thiago Alves [18-7] vs. Rick Story [12-3]
      Prediction: Alves wins by decision
      Result: Story wins by unanimous decision making me 0-1 for the night.


    • Jorge Santiago [23-8] vs. Brian Stann [10-3]
      Prediction: Stann wins by TKO.
      Result: Stann wins by TKO making me 1-1 for the night


    • Travis Browne [10-0] vs. Stefan Struve [21-4]
      Prediction: Struve by TKO
      Result: Browne by KO in the first round making me 1-2 for the night


    • Frank Mir [14-5] vs. Roy Nelson [15-5]
      Prediction: Mir by decision
      Result: Mir by decision making me 2-2 for the night


    • Matt Hamill [10-2] vs. Quinton Jackson [31-8]
      Prediction: Hamill by decision.
      Result: Jackson by unanimous decision making me 2-3 for the night

    Final Thoughts:

    • Rick Story is a tough kid who just won’t quit!
    • Brian Stann has a great future ahead of him.
    • Stefan Struve got KO’d!
    • I wish Mir could have ended the fight against Nelson.  Unfortunately, Nelson was tough enough to hang in but not in shape enough to make it really competitive.
    • Hamill fought a dumb fight.  I thought he’d have tried to stay on the outside of Jackson and just keep kicking and punching.  Instead, Hamill continued to shoot for takedowns [which Jackson easily stuffed] and then would get clocked each time he tried to disengage.
    • Bring on Caine vs Do Santos!

    UFC 130 Predictions

    • Thiago Alves [18-7] vs. Rick Story [12-3] If Alves didn’t weaken himself making weight and he doesn’t have too much ring [mat] rust, he should do okay.
      Prediction: Alves wins by decision


    • Jorge Santiago [23-8] vs. Brian Stann [10-3] Stann is a star on the rise and Santiago hasn’t fought in the UFC in five years.
      Prediction: Stann wins by TKO.


    • Travis Browne [10-0] vs. Stefan Struve [21-4]  These are two giants!  Browne is 6’7″ and Struve is 6’11”.  If there’s a KO someone has a long way to fall.
      Prediction: Struve by TKO


    • Frank Mir [14-5] vs. Roy Nelson [15-5]  This should be the main event.  I like both of these warriors, but Mir is my favorite fighter.  Nelson can take a punch and has a great ground game.  Mir is a submission artist but does he want to go to the ground with Big Country?
      Prediction: Mir by decision


    • Matt Hamill [10-2] vs. Quinton Jackson [31-8]  Jackson has the experience and usually does well against wrestlers.  What worries me is that Rampage has been talking about quitting the fight game in a few years.  In my opinion that signals trouble.
      Prediction; Hamill by decision.

      Brock Lesnar Taps Like Gregory Hines on a Hot Plate

      After Brock Lesnar nearly got whipped by Shane Carwin, I thought that Brock developed a bit of humility.  Then when Cain Velesquez beat Brock in every aspect of the game and pounded him into the fetal position before a ref stopped the fight, I was pretty sure that Brock became more humble.  I was wrong.

      The first paragraph of Brock’s forthcoming autobiography ends with this sentence…

      • “I handed this guy, who will never be half the man I am, a victory he didn’t deserve.”

      Brock is talking about Frank Mir.  You know, the guy who made Brock, in the first round, tap like Gregory Hines on a hot plate.  Sure, Brock won the rematch by ref stoppage in the second, but which loss was quicker and more humiliating?  Exactly.

      At any rate, Brock Lesnar has an autobiography coming out soon.  It’s called Deathclutch: My Story of Determination, Domination and Survival.  Any bets on how much humility he shows in it?

      UFC 129 Results

      United States Nate Diaz lost to Canada Rory MacDonald MacDonald dominated all three rounds and won a unanimous decision.
      Prediction: Diaz by decision made me 0-1 for the night.

      Canada Mark Bocek lost to United States Ben Henderson
      Prediction: Henderson gets the decision made me 1-1 for the night.

      United States Randy Couture was KO’d in the 2nd round by a front kick to the face from Brazil Lyoto Machida
      Prediction: Couture by decision made me 1-2 for the night.

      Brazil José Aldo defeated Canada Mark Hominick in a war the went the distance but earned Aldo a unanimous decision.
      Prediction: Aldo by TKO or KO made me 2-2 for the night.

      Canada Georges St-Pierre won a unanimous decision over a very game United States Jake Shields
      Prediction: GSP by decision made me 3-2 for the night.

      Final Thoughts:

      • Nate Diaz didn’t know what hit him.  Rory MacDonald is a fighter to watch!
      • I hate that Randy Couture got KO’d in his last fight.  Machida said in a post fight interview that Steven Seagal taught him the front kick that he used to KO Couture.
      • GSP did what he needed to do to defeat a very game Jake Shields.  After the fight GSP headed to the hospital to be checked out and missed the post-fight interviews.  I was of the opinion that GSP, if he won would go up in weight and fight Anderson Silva.  I’m not so sure about that now.
      • Next up UFC 130 on May 28th: Frankie Edgar vs. Gray Maynard // Matt Hamill vs. Quinton Jackson // Frank Mir vs. Roy Nelson


      UFC 129 Predictions

      United States Nate Diaz vs. Canada Rory MacDonald Both Diaz and MacDonald are tough.  I’m not a fan of either of the Diaz brothers, but they sure come to fight.  This should be a good one.
      Prediction: Diaz by decision.

      Canada Mark Bocek vs. United States Ben Henderson – Ben Henderson may be the best fighter that nobody knows.  That should all change now that he’s in the UFC.
      Prediction: Henderson gets the decision.

      United States Randy Couture vs. Brazil Lyoto Machida – Randy Couture is one of my favorite fighters.  How can you go against Captain America?  The only thing that worries me is that Couture has said, “Win, lose, or draw, this is my last fight.”  THAT bothers me.  Still, I think that Couture will be able to force the action and if he gets Machida down or against the fence, the battle is won.
      Prediction: Couture by decision.

      Brazil José Aldo (c) vs. Canada Mark Hominick – As Ryan Cody said: “Aldo is a beast. Beast! He wins via TKO…”
      Prediction: Aldo by TKO or KO.

      Canada Georges St-Pierre (c) vs. United States Jake Shields -This should be a great fight.  Shields is coming in as a 5 to 1 underdog.  I think that the odds are way off on this one.  GSP should win, but I’d lay a bet on Shields if I had 5 to 1.  If GSP can take Shields down [which I think he will], what then?  We’ll find out tonight.
      Prediction: GSP by decision.

      UFC 128 Results

      Last night, UFC 128 took place and these are my predictions and the results:

      • Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic vs. Brendan Schaub
        Prediction: Schaub wins via TKO.
        Result: Schaub defeated Mirko “Cro Cop” FIlipovic by TKO at 3:24 of round three 3:24
        My record for the night: 1-0
      • Nate Marquardt vs. Dan Miller
        Prediction: Marquardt wins via submission or ref stoppage.
        Result: Nate Marquardt defeated Dan Miller by unanimous decision
        My record for the night: 2-0
      • Jim Miller vs. Kamal Shalorus
        Prediction: Miller for the win.
        Result: Jim Miller defeated Kamal Shalorus by TKO at 2:15 of round 3
        My record for the night: 3-0
      • Urijah Faber vs. Eddie Wineland
        Prediction: The California Kid (Faber) via stoppage or submission.
        Result: Urijah Faber defeated Eddie Wineland via unanimous decision
        My record for the night: 4-0
      • Mauricio “Shogun” Rua vs. Jon Jones
        Prediction: Jones wins by decision.
        Result: Jon Jones defeated Mauricio “Shogun” Rua by TKO at 2:37 of round 3
        My record for the night: 5-0

      Final thoughts:

      • The Fight of the Night Bonus [$70,000] went to Edson Barboza and Anthony Njokuani who fought on the free undercard televised on SPIKE.
      • Because no fight ended in a tapout [meaning no Submission of the Night], two $70,000 Knockout of the Night bonuses were given: Erik Koch [KO’d Raphael Assuncao] and Brendan Schaub [KO’d Mirko Filipovic] received the awards.
      • Immediately after Jones won the title it was announced that his first opponent would be Rashad Evans.  This will make for an interesting fight since both are used to be friends and teammates.  It will be interesting to see how this plays out leading up to the fight that should see Jones favored to win.

      UFC 128 Predictions

      On Saturday night, UFC 128 will air on pay-per-view and the card looks to be a good one from bottom to top.  So, if you’re interested, this is who is fighting and who I’m predicting to win.

      • Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic vs. Brendan Schaub
        Prediction: There was a time when Cro Cop was one of the most feared fighters in the octagon… although it’s been a while.  If Schaub pressures Cro Cop, I see it going his way.  Schaub wins via TKO.
      • Nate Marquardt vs. Dan Miller
        Prediction: I’m a big Marquardt fan and am looking for him to win via submission or ref stoppage.
      • Jim Miller vs. Kamal Shalorus
        Prediction: Miller for the win.
      • Urijah Faber vs. Eddie Wineland
        Prediction: The California Kid (Faber) via stoppage or submission.
      • Mauricio “Shogun” Rua vs. Jon Jones
        Prediction: Jones wins by decision.

      UFC Live Results

      UFC on Versus 3 Live was an excellent fight card.  Here are my picks and the results:

      • Danny Castillo vs. Joe Stevenson.
        Prediction: Stevenson via stoppage.
        Result: Castillo won via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) making me 0-1.
      • Damacio Page vs. Brian Bowles
        Prediction: Bowles wins by decision
        Result: Bowles won via submission by guillotine choke in round 1 making me 1-1
      • Alessio Sakara vs. Chris Weidman
        Prediction: Sakara wins by decision
        Result: Weidman won via unanimous decision
        (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) making me 1-2
      • C.B. Dolloway vs. Mark Munoz
        Prediction: Munoz wins by decision
        Result: Munoz won via TKO (punches) in round one making me 2-2
      • Diego Sanchez vs. Martin Kampmann
        Prediction: Sanchez via stoppage.
        Result: Sanchez won via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) making me 3-2

      FInal Thoughts:

      • Joe Stevenson could be on his way out of the UFC with that loss.  I’d hate to see him go.
      • Diego Sanchez and Martin Kampmann fought a classic battle.  Although it was close, I gave the edge to Diego Dana White was so impressed that he gave them both $40,000 fight of the night bonuses and then moved the bonus to $60k each and then $100 grand each.  That should tell you what kind of fight it was.